Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)

Fair Value Measurements

v3.19.1
Fair Value Measurements
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2019
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements Fair Value Measurements
Under applicable accounting standards, fair value is defined as the exchange price that would be received for an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in the principal or most advantageous market for the asset or liability in an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. The Corporation determines the fair values of its financial instruments under applicable accounting standards and conducts a review of its fair value hierarchy classifications on a quarterly basis. Transfers into or out of fair value hierarchy classifications are made if the significant inputs used in the financial models measuring the fair values of the assets and liabilities become unobservable or observable in the current marketplace. During the three months ended March 31, 2019, there were no changes to valuation approaches or techniques that had, or are expected to have, a material impact on the Corporation’s consolidated financial position or results of operations.
For more information regarding the fair value hierarchy, how the Corporation measures fair value and valuation techniques, see Note 1 – Summary of Significant Accounting Principles and Note 20 – Fair Value Measurements to the Consolidated Financial Statements of the Corporation’s 2018 Annual Report on Form 10-K. The Corporation accounts for certain financial instruments under the fair value option. For additional information, see Note 16 – Fair Value Option.
Recurring Fair Value
Assets and liabilities carried at fair value on a recurring basis at March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018, including financial instruments that the Corporation accounts for under the fair value option, are summarized in the following tables.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
March 31, 2019
 
Fair Value Measurements
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Netting Adjustments (1)
 
Assets/Liabilities at Fair Value
Assets
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Time deposits placed and other short-term investments
$
1,180

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,180

Federal funds sold and securities borrowed or purchased under agreements to resell

 
59,557

 

 

 
59,557

Trading account assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

U.S. Treasury and agency securities (2)
41,904

 
450

 

 

 
42,354

Corporate securities, trading loans and other

 
28,254

 
1,428

 

 
29,682

Equity securities
63,520

 
35,570

 
288

 

 
99,378

Non-U.S. sovereign debt
8,470

 
24,068

 
472

 

 
33,010

Mortgage trading loans, MBS and ABS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government-sponsored agency guaranteed (2)

 
23,539

 

 

 
23,539

Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS

 
9,589

 
1,510

 

 
11,099

Total trading account assets (3)
113,894

 
121,470

 
3,698

 

 
239,062

Derivative assets
12,581

 
312,097

 
3,473

 
(285,760
)
 
42,391

AFS debt securities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

U.S. Treasury and agency securities
59,800

 
1,224

 

 

 
61,024

Mortgage-backed securities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Agency

 
117,165

 

 

 
117,165

Agency-collateralized mortgage obligations

 
5,379

 

 

 
5,379

Non-agency residential

 
1,434

 
581

 

 
2,015

Commercial

 
14,369

 

 

 
14,369

Non-U.S. securities

 
10,760

 
2

 

 
10,762

Other taxable securities

 
3,430

 
3

 

 
3,433

Tax-exempt securities

 
17,466

 

 

 
17,466

Total AFS debt securities
59,800

 
171,227

 
586

 

 
231,613

Other debt securities carried at fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency MBS

 
1,013

 

 

 
1,013

Non-agency residential MBS

 
1,414

 
224

 

 
1,638

Non-U.S. securities
3,369

 
4,320

 

 

 
7,689

Other taxable securities

 
3

 

 

 
3

Total other debt securities carried at fair value
3,369

 
6,750

 
224

 

 
10,343

Loans and leases

 
5,870

 
317

 

 
6,187

Loans held-for-sale

 
1,989

 
558

 

 
2,547

Other assets (4)
17,784

 
2,396

 
2,749

 

 
22,929

Total assets (5)
$
208,608

 
$
681,356

 
$
11,605

 
$
(285,760
)
 
$
615,809

Liabilities
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Interest-bearing deposits in U.S. offices
$

 
$
499

 
$

 
$

 
$
499

Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under agreements to repurchase

 
26,609

 

 

 
26,609

Trading account liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
U.S. Treasury and agency securities
11,539

 
610

 

 

 
12,149

Equity securities
37,038

 
3,155

 

 

 
40,193

Non-U.S. sovereign debt
16,206

 
9,234

 

 

 
25,440

Corporate securities and other

 
6,607

 
21

 

 
6,628

Total trading account liabilities
64,783

 
19,606

 
21

 

 
84,410

Derivative liabilities
11,907

 
301,867

 
4,491

 
(281,927
)
 
36,338

Short-term borrowings

 
1,895

 

 

 
1,895

Accrued expenses and other liabilities
20,821

 
2,552

 

 

 
23,373

Long-term debt

 
30,735

 
890

 

 
31,625

Total liabilities (5)
$
97,511

 
$
383,763

 
$
5,402

 
$
(281,927
)
 
$
204,749

(1) 
Amounts represent the impact of legally enforceable master netting agreements and also cash collateral held or placed with the same counterparties.
(2) 
Includes $24.0 billion of GSE obligations.
(3) 
Includes securities with a fair value of $15.7 billion that were segregated in compliance with securities regulations or deposited with clearing organizations. This amount is included in the parenthetical disclosure on the Consolidated Balance Sheet.
(4) 
Includes MSRs of $1.9 billion which are classified as Level 3 assets.
(5) 
Total recurring Level 3 assets were 0.49 percent of total consolidated assets, and total recurring Level 3 liabilities were 0.26 percent of total consolidated liabilities.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2018
 
Fair Value Measurements
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Netting Adjustments (1)
 
Assets/Liabilities at Fair Value
Assets
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Time deposits placed and other short-term investments
$
1,214

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,214

Federal funds sold and securities borrowed or purchased under agreements to resell

 
56,399

 

 

 
56,399

Trading account assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

U.S. Treasury and agency securities (2)
53,131

 
1,593

 

 

 
54,724

Corporate securities, trading loans and other

 
24,630

 
1,558

 

 
26,188

Equity securities
53,840

 
23,163

 
276

 

 
77,279

Non-U.S. sovereign debt
5,818

 
19,210

 
465

 

 
25,493

Mortgage trading loans, MBS and ABS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government-sponsored agency guaranteed (2)

 
19,586

 

 

 
19,586

Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS

 
9,443

 
1,635

 

 
11,078

Total trading account assets (3)
112,789

 
97,625

 
3,934

 

 
214,348

Derivative assets
9,967

 
315,413

 
3,466

 
(285,121
)
 
43,725

AFS debt securities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

U.S. Treasury and agency securities
53,663

 
1,260

 

 

 
54,923

Mortgage-backed securities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Agency

 
121,826

 

 

 
121,826

Agency-collateralized mortgage obligations

 
5,530

 

 

 
5,530

Non-agency residential

 
1,320

 
597

 

 
1,917

Commercial

 
14,078

 

 

 
14,078

Non-U.S. securities

 
9,304

 
2

 

 
9,306

Other taxable securities

 
4,403

 
7

 

 
4,410

Tax-exempt securities

 
17,376

 

 

 
17,376

Total AFS debt securities
53,663

 
175,097

 
606

 

 
229,366

Other debt securities carried at fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and agency securities
1,282

 

 

 

 
1,282

Non-agency residential MBS

 
1,434

 
172

 

 
1,606

Non-U.S. securities
490

 
5,354

 

 

 
5,844

Other taxable securities

 
3

 

 

 
3

Total other debt securities carried at fair value
1,772

 
6,791

 
172

 

 
8,735

Loans and leases

 
4,011

 
338

 

 
4,349

Loans held-for-sale

 
2,400

 
542

 

 
2,942

Other assets (4)
15,032

 
1,775

 
2,932

 

 
19,739

Total assets (5)
$
194,437

 
$
659,511

 
$
11,990

 
$
(285,121
)
 
$
580,817

Liabilities
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Interest-bearing deposits in U.S. offices
$

 
$
492

 
$

 
$

 
$
492

Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under agreements to repurchase

 
28,875

 

 

 
28,875

Trading account liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
U.S. Treasury and agency securities
7,894

 
761

 

 

 
8,655

Equity securities
33,739

 
4,070

 

 

 
37,809

Non-U.S. sovereign debt
7,452

 
9,182

 

 

 
16,634

Corporate securities and other

 
5,104

 
18

 

 
5,122

Total trading account liabilities
49,085

 
19,117

 
18

 

 
68,220

Derivative liabilities
9,931

 
303,441

 
4,401

 
(279,882
)
 
37,891

Short-term borrowings

 
1,648

 

 

 
1,648

Accrued expenses and other liabilities
18,096

 
1,979

 

 

 
20,075

Long-term debt

 
26,872

 
817

 

 
27,689

Total liabilities (5)
$
77,112

 
$
382,424

 
$
5,236

 
$
(279,882
)
 
$
184,890


(1) 
Amounts represent the impact of legally enforceable master netting agreements and also cash collateral held or placed with the same counterparties.
(2) 
Includes $20.2 billion of GSE obligations.
(3) 
Includes securities with a fair value of $16.6 billion that were segregated in compliance with securities regulations or deposited with clearing organizations. This amount is included in the parenthetical disclosure on the Consolidated Balance Sheet.
(4) 
Includes MSRs of $2.0 billion which are classified as Level 3 assets.
(5) 
Total recurring Level 3 assets were 0.51 percent of total consolidated assets, and total recurring Level 3 liabilities were 0.25 percent of total consolidated liabilities.The following tables present a reconciliation of all assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018, including net realized and unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings and accumulated OCI. Transfers into Level 3 occur primarily due to decreased price observability, and transfers out of Level 3 occur primarily due to increased price observability. Transfers occur on a regular basis for long-term debt instruments due to changes in the impact of unobservable inputs on the value of the embedded derivative in relation to the instrument as a whole.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Level 3 – Fair Value Measurements (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance
January 1
Total Realized/Unrealized Gains (Losses) in Net Income (2)
Gains
(Losses)
in OCI
(3)
Gross
Gross
Transfers
into
Level 3 
Gross
Transfers
out of
Level 3 
Balance
March 31
Change in Unrealized Gains (Losses) in Net Income Related to Financial Instruments Still Held (2)
(Dollars in millions)
Purchases
Sales
Issuances
Settlements
Three Months Ended March 31, 2019
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading account assets:
 

 

 

 

 
 
 
 

 

 

 
Corporate securities, trading loans and other
$
1,558

$
3

$

$
54

$
(73
)
$

$
(60
)
$
139

$
(193
)
$
1,428

$
(8
)
Equity securities
276

2


18

(1
)

(3
)
2

(6
)
288

2

Non-U.S. sovereign debt
465

8

(1
)






472

8

Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
1,635

38

(1
)
230

(337
)

(9
)
89

(135
)
1,510

27

Total trading account assets
3,934

51

(2
)
302

(411
)

(72
)
230

(334
)
3,698

29

Net derivative assets (4)
(935
)
(25
)

111

(245
)

(55
)
122

9

(1,018
)
(25
)
AFS debt securities:
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Non-agency residential MBS
597


93




(7
)
159

(261
)
581


Non-U.S. securities
2









2


Other taxable securities
7






(4
)


3


Total AFS debt securities
606


93




(11
)
159

(261
)
586


Other debt securities carried at fair value – Non-agency residential MBS
172

47





(1
)
38

(32
)
224

47

Loans and leases (5)
338

4



(15
)

(10
)


317

4

Loans held-for-sale (5,6)
542

12

(2
)
10

(21
)
11

(53
)
59


558

4

Other assets (6, 7)
2,932

(74
)
8



41

(158
)


2,749

(128
)
Trading account liabilities – Corporate securities and other
(18
)



(3
)




(21
)

Long-term debt (5)
(817
)
(46
)
(1
)


(3
)
38

(61
)

(890
)
(46
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading account assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities, trading loans and other
$
1,864

$
9

$

$
193

$
(136
)
$

$
(139
)
$
103

$
(178
)
$
1,716

$
(15
)
Equity securities
235

8


6

(7
)


1

(31
)
212

8

Non-U.S. sovereign debt
556

16

2


(50
)

(8
)

(115
)
401

16

Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
1,498

99

3

125

(320
)

(69
)
94

(58
)
1,372

83

Total trading account assets
4,153

132

5

324

(513
)

(216
)
198

(382
)
3,701

92

Net derivative assets (4)
(1,714
)
495


153

(262
)

202

71

(83
)
(1,138
)
517

AFS debt securities:
 

 

 

 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-U.S. securities
25






(2
)


23


Other taxable securities
509

1





(7
)

(460
)
43


Tax-exempt securities
469








(469
)


Total AFS debt securities (8)
1,003

1





(9
)

(929
)
66


Loans and leases (5)
571

(16
)


(4
)

(25
)


526

(16
)
Loans held-for-sale (5,6)
690

24


12



(41
)


685

21

Other assets (6, 7, 8)
2,425

192



(38
)
29

(242
)
929


3,295

120

Trading account liabilities – Corporate securities and other
(24
)
1



(2
)
(1
)



(26
)
1

Accrued expenses and other liabilities (5)
(8
)








(8
)

Long-term debt (5)
(1,863
)
23

1

5


(67
)
172

(33
)
411

(1,351
)
26

(1) 
Assets (liabilities). For assets, increase (decrease) to Level 3 and for liabilities, (increase) decrease to Level 3.
(2) 
Includes gains (losses) reported in earnings in the following income statement line items: Trading account assets/liabilities - predominantly trading account income; Net derivative assets - primarily trading account income and other income; Other debt securities carried at fair value - other income; Loans and leases - other income; Loans held-for-sale - other income; Other assets - primarily other income related to MSRs; Long-term debt - primarily trading account income. For MSRs, the amounts reflect the changes in modeled MSR fair value due to observed changes in interest rates, volatility, spreads and the shape of the forward swap curve, and periodic adjustments to the valuation model to reflect changes in the modeled relationships between inputs and projected cash flows, as well as changes in cash flow assumptions including cost to service.
(3) 
Includes unrealized gains (losses) in OCI on AFS debt securities, foreign currency translation adjustments and the impact of changes in the Corporation’s credit spreads on long-term debt accounted for under the fair value option. Total gains (losses) in OCI include net unrealized gains of $96 million related to financial instruments still held at March 31, 2019. For additional information on changes in fair value recorded in accumulated OCI, see Note 1 – Summary of Significant Accounting Principles to the Consolidated Financial Statements of the Corporation’s 2018 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
(4) 
Net derivative assets include derivative assets of $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion and derivative liabilities of $4.5 billion and $5.7 billion at March 31, 2019 and 2018.
(5) 
Amounts represent instruments that are accounted for under the fair value option.
(6) 
Issuances represent loan originations and MSRs recognized following securitizations or whole-loan sales.
(7) 
Settlements primarily represent the net change in fair value of the MSR asset due to the recognition of modeled cash flows and the passage of time.
(8) 
Transfers out of AFS debt and into other assets relate to the reclassification of certain securities.The following tables present information about significant unobservable inputs related to the Corporation’s material categories of Level 3 financial assets and liabilities at March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements at March 31, 2019
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
 
Inputs
Financial Instrument
Fair
Value
Valuation
Technique
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
Ranges of
Inputs
Weighted Average (1)
Loans and Securities (2)
 
 
 
 
 
Instruments backed by residential real estate assets
$
1,583

Discounted cash flow, Market comparables
Yield
0% to 25%
6%
Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
455

Prepayment speed
0% to 25% CPR
15%
Loans and leases
317

Default rate
0% to 3% CDR
1%
Loans held-for-sale
1

Loss severity
0% to 48%
15%
AFS debt securities, primarily non-agency residential
586

Price
$0 to $150
$100
Other debt securities carried at fair value - Non-agency residential
224

 
 
 
Instruments backed by commercial real estate assets
$
355

Discounted cash flow
Yield
0% to 25%
7%
Trading account assets – Corporate securities, trading loans and other
232

Price
$0 to $100
$71
Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
123

 
 
 
Commercial loans, debt securities and other
$
3,157

Discounted cash flow, Market comparables
Yield
1% to 15%
7%
Trading account assets – Corporate securities, trading loans and other
1,196

Prepayment speed
10% to 20%
15%
Trading account assets – Non-U.S. sovereign debt
472

Default rate
3% to 4%
4%
Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
932

Loss severity
35% to 40%
37%
Loans held-for-sale
557

Price
$0 to $143
$66
Other assets, primarily auction rate securities
$
878

Discounted cash flow, Market comparables
Price
$10 to $100
$95

 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
MSRs
$
1,871

Discounted cash flow
Weighted-average life, fixed rate (5)
0 to 14 years
5 years
 
 
Weighted-average life, variable rate (5)
0 to 9 years
3 years
 
 
Option-adjusted spread, fixed rate
7% to 14%
9%
 
 
Option-adjusted spread, variable rate
9% to 15%
12%
Structured liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt
$
(890
)
Discounted cash flow, Market comparables, Industry standard derivative pricing (3)
Equity correlation
10% to 100%
65%
 
 
Long-dated equity volatilities
4% to 91%
31%
 
 
Price
$0 to $101
$71
 
 
 
 
 
Net derivative assets
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives
$
(197
)
Discounted cash flow, Stochastic recovery correlation model
Yield
3% to 5%
4%
 
 
Upfront points
0 to 100 points
68 points
 
 
Prepayment speed
15% to 100% CPR
38%
 
 
Default rate
1% to 4% CDR
2%
 
 
Loss severity
35%
n/a
 
 
Price
$0 to $138
$85
Equity derivatives
$
(802
)
Industry standard derivative pricing (3)
Equity correlation
10% to 100%
65%
 
 
Long-dated equity volatilities
4% to 91%
31%
Commodity derivatives
$
6

Discounted cash flow, Industry standard derivative pricing (3)
Natural gas forward price
$1/MMBtu to $8/MMBtu
$3/MMBtu
 
 
Correlation
25% to 85%
67%
 
 
Volatilities
15% to 115%
34%
Interest rate derivatives
$
(25
)
Industry standard derivative pricing (4)
Correlation (IR/IR)
15% to 70%
54%
 
 
Correlation (FX/IR)
0% to 46%
3%
 
 
Long-dated inflation rates
-18% to 38%
4%
 
 
Long-dated inflation volatilities
0% to 1%
1%
Total net derivative assets
$
(1,018
)
 
 
 
 
(1) 
For loans and securities, structured liabilities and net derivative assets, the weighted average is calculated based upon the absolute fair value of the instruments.
(2) 
The categories are aggregated based upon product type which differs from financial statement classification. The following is a reconciliation to the line items in the table on page 79: Trading account assets – Corporate securities, trading loans and other of $1.4 billion, Trading account assets – Non-U.S. sovereign debt of $472 million, Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS of $1.5 billion, AFS debt securities of $586 million, Other debt securities carried at fair value - Non-agency residential of $224 million, Other assets, including MSRs, of $2.7 billion, Loans and leases of $317 million and LHFS of $558 million.
(3) 
Includes models such as Monte Carlo simulation and Black-Scholes.
(4) 
Includes models such as Monte Carlo simulation, Black-Scholes and other methods that model the joint dynamics of interest, inflation and foreign exchange rates.
(5) 
The weighted-average life is a product of changes in market rates of interest, prepayment rates and other model and cash flow assumptions.
CPR = Constant Prepayment Rate
CDR = Constant Default Rate
MMBtu = Million British thermal units
IR = Interest Rate
FX = Foreign Exchange
n/a = not applicable
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements at December 31, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
 
Inputs
Financial Instrument
Fair
Value
Valuation
Technique
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
Ranges of
Inputs
Weighted Average (1)
Loans and Securities (2)
 
 
 
 
 
Instruments backed by residential real estate assets
$
1,536

Discounted cash flow, Market comparables
Yield
0% to 25%
8%
Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
419

Prepayment speed
0% to 21% CPR
12%
Loans and leases
338

Default rate
0% to 3% CDR
1%
Loans held-for-sale
1

Loss severity
0% to 51%
17%
AFS debt securities, primarily non-agency residential
606

Price
$0 to $128
$72
Other debt securities carried at fair value - Non-agency residential
172

 
 
 
Instruments backed by commercial real estate assets
$
291

Discounted cash flow
Yield
0% to 25%
7%
Trading account assets – Corporate securities, trading loans and other
200

Price
$0 to $100
$79
Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
91

 
 
 
Commercial loans, debt securities and other
$
3,489

Discounted cash flow, Market comparables
Yield
1% to 18%
13%
Trading account assets – Corporate securities, trading loans and other
1,358

Prepayment speed
10% to 20%
15%
Trading account assets – Non-U.S. sovereign debt
465

Default rate
3% to 4%
4%
Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS
1,125

Loss severity
35% to 40%
38%
Loans held-for-sale
541

Price
$0 to $141
$68
Other assets, primarily auction rate securities
$
890

Discounted cash flow, Market comparables
Price
$10 to $100
$95
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MSRs
$
2,042

Discounted cash flow
Weighted-average life, fixed rate (5)
0 to 14 years
5 years
 
 
Weighted-average life, variable rate (5)
0 to 10 years
3 years
 
 
Option-adjusted spread, fixed rate
7% to 14%
9%
 
 
Option-adjusted spread, variable rate
9% to 15%
12%
Structured liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt
$
(817
)
Discounted cash flow, Market comparables, Industry standard derivative pricing (3)
Equity correlation
11% to 100%
67%
 
 
Long-dated equity volatilities
4% to 84%
32%
 
 
Yield
7% to 18%
16%
 
 
Price
$0 to $100
$72
Net derivative assets
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives
$
(565
)
Discounted cash flow, Stochastic recovery correlation model
Yield
0% to 5%
4%
 
 
Upfront points
0 points to 100 points
70 points
 
 
Credit correlation
70%
n/a
 
 
Prepayment speed
15% to 20% CPR
15%
 
 
Default rate
1% to 4% CDR
2%
 
 
Loss severity
35%
n/a
 
 
Price
$0 to $138
$93
Equity derivatives
$
(348
)
Industry standard derivative pricing (3)
Equity correlation
11% to 100%
67%
 
 
Long-dated equity volatilities
4% to 84%
32%
Commodity derivatives
$
10

Discounted cash flow, Industry standard derivative pricing (3)
Natural gas forward price
$1/MMBtu to $12/MMBtu
$3/MMBtu
 
 
Correlation
38% to 87%
71%
 
 
Volatilities
15% to 132%
38%
Interest rate derivatives
$
(32
)
Industry standard derivative pricing (4)
Correlation (IR/IR)
15% to 70%
61%
 
 
Correlation (FX/IR)
0% to 46%
1%
 
 
Long-dated inflation rates
-20% to 38%
2%
 
 
Long-dated inflation volatilities
0% to 1%
1%
Total net derivative assets
$
(935
)
 
 
 
 

(1) 
For loans and securities, structured liabilities and net derivative assets, the weighted average is calculated based upon the absolute fair value of the instruments.
(2) 
The categories are aggregated based upon product type which differs from financial statement classification. The following is a reconciliation to the line items in the table on page 80: Trading account assets – Corporate securities, trading loans and other of $1.6 billion, Trading account assets – Non-U.S. sovereign debt of $465 million, Trading account assets – Mortgage trading loans, ABS and other MBS of $1.6 billion, AFS debt securities of $606 million, Other debt securities carried at fair value - Non-agency residential of $172 million, Other assets, including MSRs, of 2.9 billion, Loans and leases of $338 million and LHFS of $542 million.
(3) 
Includes models such as Monte Carlo simulation and Black-Scholes.
(4) 
Includes models such as Monte Carlo simulation, Black-Scholes and other methods that model the joint dynamics of interest, inflation and foreign exchange rates.
(5) 
The weighted-average life is a product of changes in market rates of interest, prepayment rates and other model and cash flow assumptions.
CPR = Constant Prepayment Rate
CDR = Constant Default Rate
MMBtu = Million British thermal units
IR = Interest Rate
FX = Foreign Exchange
n/a = not applicable
Uncertainty of Fair Value Measurements from Unobservable Inputs
For information on the types of instruments, valuation approaches and the impact of changes in unobservable inputs used in Level 3 measurements, see Note 20 – Fair Value Measurements to the Consolidated Financial Statements of the Corporation’s 2018 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Sensitivity of Fair Value Measurements for Mortgage Servicing Rights
The weighted-average lives and fair value of MSRs are sensitive to changes in modeled assumptions. The weighted-average life is a product of changes in market rates of interest, prepayment rates and other model and cash flow assumptions. The weighted-average life represents the average period of time that the MSRs’ cash flows are expected to be received. Absent other changes, an increase (decrease) to the weighted-average life would generally result in an increase (decrease) in the fair value of the MSRs. For example, as of March 31, 2019, a 10 percent or 20 percent decrease in prepayment rates, which impacts the weighted-average life, could result in an increase in fair value of $64 million
or $134 million, while a 10 percent or 20 percent increase in prepayment rates could result in a decrease in fair value of $59 million or $114 million. A 100 bp or 200 bp decrease in option-adjusted spread (OAS) levels could result in an increase in fair value of $55 million or $114 million, while a 100 bp or 200 bp increase in OAS levels could result in a decrease in fair value of $52 million or $100 million. These sensitivities are hypothetical and actual amounts may vary materially. For additional information on variations in assumptions and sensitivities on MSRs, see Note 20 – Fair Value Measurements to the Consolidated Financial Statements of the Corporation’s 2018 Annual Report on Form 10-K.Nonrecurring Fair Value
The Corporation holds certain assets that are measured at fair value, but only in certain situations (e.g., impairment) and these measurements are referred to herein as nonrecurring. The amounts below represent assets still held as of the reporting date for which a nonrecurring fair value adjustment was recorded during the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets Measured at Fair Value on a Nonrecurring Basis
 
 
 
March 31, 2019
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2019
(Dollars in millions)
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Gains (Losses)
Assets
 

 
 

 
 
Loans held-for-sale
$
55

 
$

 
$
(1
)
Loans and leases (1)

 
120

 
(40
)
Foreclosed properties (2, 3)

 
40

 
(13
)
Other assets
61

 
6

 
(11
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
March 31, 2018
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2018
Assets
 

 
 

 
 
Loans held-for-sale
$
13

 
$

 
$
(2
)
Loans and leases (1)

 
273

 
(98
)
Foreclosed properties (2, 3)

 
61

 
(17
)
Other assets
47

 

 
(7
)

(1) 
Includes $18 million and $45 million of losses on loans that were written down to a collateral value of zero during the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018.
(2) 
Amounts are included in other assets on the Consolidated Balance Sheet and represent the carrying value of foreclosed properties that were written down subsequent to their initial classification as foreclosed properties. Losses on foreclosed properties include losses recorded during the first 90 days after transfer of a loan to foreclosed properties.
(3) 
Excludes $400 million and $680 million of properties acquired upon foreclosure of certain government-guaranteed loans (principally FHA-insured loans) at March 31, 2019 and 2018.
The table below presents information about significant unobservable inputs related to the Corporation’s nonrecurring Level 3 financial assets and liabilities at March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018. Loans and leases backed by residential real estate assets represent residential mortgages where the loan has been written down to the fair value of the underlying collateral.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quantitative Information about Nonrecurring Level 3 Fair Value Measurements
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Inputs
Financial Instrument
Fair Value
 
Valuation
Technique
 
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
 
Ranges of
Inputs
 
Weighted
Average (1)
(Dollars in millions)

March 31, 2019
Loans and leases backed by residential real estate assets
$
120

 
Market comparables
 
OREO discount
 
13% to 59%
 
25
%
 
 
 
 
 
Costs to sell
 
8% to 26%
 
9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2018
Loans and leases backed by residential real estate assets
$
474

 
Market comparables
 
OREO discount
 
13% to 59%
 
25
%
 
 
 
 
 
Costs to sell
 
8% to 26%
 
9
%
(1) The weighted average is calculated based upon the fair value of the loans.