Annual report pursuant to Section 13 and 15(d)

Mortgage Servicing Rights

v2.4.0.8
Mortgage Servicing Rights
 12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2013
Transfers and Servicing [Abstract]  
Mortgage Servicing Rights
Mortgage Servicing Rights
The Corporation accounts for consumer MSRs at fair value with changes in fair value recorded in mortgage banking income (loss) in the Consolidated Statement of Income. The Corporation manages the risk in these MSRs with securities including MBS and U.S. Treasuries, as well as certain derivatives such as options and interest rate swaps, which are not designated as accounting hedges. The securities used to manage the risk in the MSRs are classified in other assets with changes in the fair value of the securities and the related interest income recorded in mortgage banking income (loss).
The table below presents activity for residential mortgage and home equity MSRs for 2013 and 2012. Commercial and residential reverse MSRs, which are carried at the lower of cost or market value and accounted for using the amortization method, totaled $10 million and $135 million at December 31, 2013 and 2012, and are not included in the tables in this Note.
 
 
 
 
Rollforward of Mortgage Servicing Rights
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
2013
 
2012
Balance, January 1
$
5,716

 
$
7,378

Additions
472

 
374

Sales
(2,044
)
 
(122
)
Amortization of expected cash flows (1)
(1,043
)
 
(1,484
)
Impact of changes in interest rates and other market factors (2)
1,524

 
(867
)
Model and other cash flow assumption changes: (3)
 

 
 

Projected cash flows, primarily due to (increases) decreases in costs to service loans
(27
)
 
443

Impact of changes in the Home Price Index
(398
)
 
(112
)
Impact of changes to the prepayment model
609

 
435

Other model changes (4)
233

 
(329
)
Balance, December 31
$
5,042

 
$
5,716

Mortgage loans serviced for investors (in billions)
$
550

 
$
1,045

(1) 
Represents the net change in fair value of the MSR asset due to the recognition of modeled cash flows.
(2) 
These amounts reflect the changes in modeled MSR fair value primarily due to observed changes in interest rates, volatility, spreads and the shape of the forward swap curve.
(3) 
These amounts reflect periodic adjustments to the valuation model to reflect changes in the modeled relationship between inputs and their impact on projected cash flows as well as changes in certain cash flow assumptions such as cost to service and ancillary income per loan.
(4) 
These amounts include the impact of periodic recalibrations of the model to reflect changes in the relationship between market interest rate spreads and projected cash flows. Also included is a decrease of $497 million for 2012 due to changes in OAS rate inputs.
The Corporation primarily uses an OAS valuation approach which factors in prepayment risk to determine the fair value of MSRs. This approach consists of projecting servicing cash flows under multiple interest rate scenarios and discounting these cash flows using risk-adjusted discount rates. In addition to updating the valuation model for interest, discount and prepayment rates, periodic adjustments are made to recalibrate the valuation model for factors used to project cash flows. The changes to the factors capture the effect of variances related to actual versus estimated servicing proceeds.
The $2.0 billion of MSR sales during 2013 primarily relate to transfers completed under definitive agreements the Corporation entered into during the year to sell certain MSRs. The transfers of the MSRs occurred in stages throughout 2013, and all of the servicing encompassed by these agreements had been transferred as of December 31, 2013.
Significant economic assumptions in estimating the fair value of MSRs at December 31, 2013 and 2012 are presented below. The change in fair value as a result of changes in OAS rates is included within “Model and other cash flow assumption changes” in the Rollforward of Mortgage Servicing Rights table. The weighted-average life is not an input in the valuation model but is a product of both changes in market rates of interest and changes in model and other cash flow assumptions. The weighted-average life represents the average period of time that the MSRs’ cash flows are expected to be received. Absent other changes, an increase (decrease) to the weighted-average life would generally result in an increase (decrease) in the fair value of the MSRs.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Significant Economic Assumptions
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31
 
2013
 
2012
 
Fixed
 
Adjustable
 
Fixed
 
Adjustable
Weighted-average OAS
3.97
%
 
7.61
%
 
4.00
%
 
6.63
%
Weighted-average life, in years
5.70

 
2.86

 
3.65

 
2.10


The table below presents the sensitivity of the weighted-average lives and fair value of MSRs to changes in modeled assumptions. These sensitivities are hypothetical and should be used with caution. As the amounts indicate, changes in fair value based on variations in assumptions generally cannot be extrapolated because the relationship of the change in assumption to the change in fair value may not be linear. Also, the effect of a variation in a particular assumption on the fair value of MSRs that continue to be held by the Corporation is calculated without changing any other assumption. In reality, changes in one factor may result in changes in another, which might magnify or counteract the sensitivities. The below sensitivities do not reflect any hedge strategies that may be undertaken to mitigate such risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sensitivity Impacts
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2013
 
Change in
Weighted-average Lives
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Fixed
 
Adjustable
 
Change in Fair Value
Prepayment rates
 

 
 
 

 
 
 

Impact of 10% decrease
0.24

years
 
0.20

years
 
$
266

Impact of 20% decrease
0.51

 
 
0.42

 
 
558

Impact of 10% increase
(0.22
)
 
 
(0.17
)
 
 
(244
)
Impact of 20% increase
(0.42
)
 
 
(0.32
)
 
 
(469
)
OAS level
 

 
 
 

 
 
 

Impact of 100 bps decrease
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
268

Impact of 200 bps decrease
 
 
 
 
 
 
561

Impact of 100 bps increase
 
 
 
 
 
 
(247
)
Impact of 200 bps increase
 
 
 
 
 
 
(474
)